The Gap is Widening
The gap between decided voters widens in the province’s three geographical areas: Edmonton, Calgary and “other Alberta.”
The NDP is strongest in the Edmonton area, where Notley leads with 49 per cent support among eligible voters. Alberta’s rural communities and small cities are comfortably UCP and enjoy the same share of support—49 per cent. In Alberta’s other big city, the NDP have a tight lead of 38 per cent while the UCP have traction with 34 per cent.
Five per cent of respondents said they would support the Alberta Party and 12 per cent are undecided.
“Draw a Venn diagram of the parts of Alberta the UCP or the NDP can win in the May election and the circles will overlap in Calgary,” said Pivotal Research CEO and President, Jihad Melhem. “It’s still very competitive there.”